Financial Energy Review
………by Jenifer Dike……
The World Bank has again warned Nigeria of the rising inflationary rate as it highlights the consequences if measures are not put in place to check this economic trend
The world bank insists that there is need to mount fiscal pressures at the federal and sub-national levels by phasing out the petrol subsidy (estimated to cost up to 5 trillion naira in 2022) and redirecting fiscal resources to investments in infrastructure, education, and health services
The multilateral lender maintained that catalyzing private investment to boost job creation by improving the transparency of key government-to-business services and eliminating trade restrictions
In order to avert these complications, the World Bank urged the Nigerian Government to consider implementing a number of robust and holistic reforms as soon as possible. Some of the suggested reforms are:
Reducing inflation through a sequenced and coordinated mix of exchange rate, trade, monetary, and fiscal policies including the adoption of a single, market-responsive exchange rate
The Bank had earlier pointed out that inflation rates in some West African countries may worsen in the coming months, due to risks posed by the war in Ukraine. As a result Nigeria and this other subregional countries will likely experience extreme poverty before year end
Also according to data from Nigeria’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) released released within the week the Consumer Price (CPI) Index report for May which showed the country’s inflation rate at an 11-month high of 17.71%; up from 16.82% in April.
The data from NBS showed that the increase was driven mainly by skyrocketing food and fuel prices, as influenced by the ongoing war in Ukraine.
Before now the World Bank had released a report on June 14 warning that Nigeria’s high inflation problem could potentially plunge millions of Nigerians into extreme poverty.
In the report titled The Continuing Urgency of Business Unusual, the multilateral Financial institution noted that although Nigeria’s inflation problem predates the Ukrainian war, it has gotten worse since the war and is likely to deteriorate further. And this could, in turn, plunge millions of Nigerians into extreme poverty before the end of 2022.
Nigeria is said to have the highest inflation rates in Africa and the world at large.
“Inflation in Nigeria, already one of the highest in the world before the war in Ukraine, is likely to increase further as a result of the rise in global fuel and food prices caused by the war. And that, the World Bank estimates, is likely to push an additional one million Nigerians into poverty by the end of 2022, on top of the 6 million Nigerians that were already predicted to fall into poverty this year because of the rise in prices, particularly food prices,” the World Bank said.
Unfortunately, Nigeria’s high inflation could become complicated by a series of other macroeconomic challenges, including fiscal pressures resulting from rising fuel subsidy costs; especially at a time when the country’s oil output has declined significantly.
